FC Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Lourosa market sentiment

LFL

2026-11-15 · MARKET_PT2 · Kickoff 2026-11-15T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the FC Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Lourosa match analysis

What is the FC Penafiel vs Lusitania FC Lourosa market prediction?

Market prediction: 1 at 41.7%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is 1X at 73.0%.

These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.

Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 41.7%

1 41.7%2 27.0%X 31.4%

Market double chance prediction

1X · 73.0%

12 68.6%1X 73.0%X2 58.3%

Double chance is derived from normalized 90-minute market prices. Its outcomes overlap and do not sum to 100%.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Under 2.5 · 54.0%

Over 2.5 46.0%Under 2.5 54.0%

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-11-15T14:30:00+00:00.

Picks may change until this cutoff. Only the frozen picks will be scored.

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market data fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
FC Penafiel	N/A	41.7%	N/A
Draw	N/A	31.4%	N/A
Lusitania FC Lourosa	N/A	27.0%	N/A

Live comparison unavailable for stale data, missing forecasts or matches already started.

1X2 volume$237

1X2 liquidity$14.23K

Market activityLow

Event open interest$237

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (102.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 42.50% raw · Draw: 32.00% raw · Away: 27.50% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

FC Penafiel

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Draw

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Lusitania FC Lourosa

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

All event markets · 22

Will FC Penafiel win on 2026-11-15?

moneyline

Yes: 42.5% · No: 57.5%

Volume $86 · Liquidity $5.68K · Market 6917647
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:23:57.424345Z

Will FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa end in a draw?

moneyline

Yes: 32.0% · No: 68.0%

Volume $126 · Liquidity $4.35K · Market 6917648
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:13:55.967086Z

Will Lusitania FC Lourosa win on 2026-11-15?

moneyline

Yes: 27.5% · No: 72.5%

Volume $25 · Liquidity $4.20K · Market 6917649
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:23:57.424345Z

Spread: FC Penafiel (-1.5)

spreads

FC Penafiel: 20.5% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: 79.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $837 · Market 6918150
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:21:56.743975Z

Spread: Lusitania FC Lourosa (-1.5)

spreads

Lusitania FC Lourosa: 11.0% · FC Penafiel: 89.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.16K · Market 6918151
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:27:56.020682Z

Spread: FC Penafiel (-2.5)

spreads

FC Penafiel: 7.5% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: 92.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $723 · Market 6918152
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:25:56.109369Z

Spread: Lusitania FC Lourosa (-2.5)

spreads

Lusitania FC Lourosa: 3.2% · FC Penafiel: 96.8%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $459 · Market 6918153
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:17:57.138688Z

Spread: FC Penafiel (-3.5)

spreads

FC Penafiel: 47.5% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: 52.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $112 · Market 6918154
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:25:56.109369Z

Spread: Lusitania FC Lourosa (-3.5)

spreads

Lusitania FC Lourosa: 46.0% · FC Penafiel: 54.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $349 · Market 6918155
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:03:56.75442Z

Spread: FC Penafiel (-4.5)

spreads

FC Penafiel: 47.5% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: 52.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $182 · Market 6918156
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:17:57.138688Z

Spread: Lusitania FC Lourosa (-4.5)

spreads

Lusitania FC Lourosa: 45.5% · FC Penafiel: 54.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $224 · Market 6918157
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:15:56.116935Z

Spread: FC Penafiel (-5.5)

spreads

FC Penafiel: 47.5% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: 52.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $129 · Market 6918158
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T12:47:57.241791Z

Spread: Lusitania FC Lourosa (-5.5)

spreads

Lusitania FC Lourosa: 46.5% · FC Penafiel: 53.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $202 · Market 6918159
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:03:56.75442Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 0.5

totals

Over: 91.0% · Under: 9.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.49K · Market 6918160
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:25:56.109369Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 1.5

totals

Over: 72.5% · Under: 27.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $2.05K · Market 6918161
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:25:56.109369Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 2.5

totals

Over: 46.0% · Under: 54.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $2.02K · Market 6918162
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:23:57.424345Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 3.5

totals

Over: 25.0% · Under: 75.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $2.27K · Market 6918163
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:21:56.743975Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 4.5

totals

Over: 11.5% · Under: 88.5%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.64K · Market 6918164
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:17:57.138688Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 5.5

totals

Over: 5.0% · Under: 95.0%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.41K · Market 6918165
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:21:56.743975Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 6.5

totals

Over: 1.7% · Under: 98.4%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $2.26K · Market 6918166
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:27:56.020682Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 7.5

totals

Over: 0.8% · Under: 99.2%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.27K · Market 6918167
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:27:56.020682Z

FC Penafiel vs. Lusitania FC Lourosa: O/U 8.5

totals

Over: 0.9% · Under: 99.1%

Volume Unavailable · Liquidity $1.51K · Market 6918168
Fetched 2026-11-14T13:25:37+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-14T13:19:56.849705Z

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.

View the complete prediction record →