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FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds prediction

2026-10-10 · JPN · Kickoff 2026-10-10T06:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds match analysis

What is the FC Tokyo vs Urawa Reds prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: FC Tokyo (H) at 58.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 82.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 58.8%

Low
1 58.8%X 23.7%2 17.5%
Double chance

1X · 82.5%

Low
1X 82.5%X2 41.2%12 76.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.9%36.6%26.6%
Market · margin removed58.8%23.7%17.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson37.9%26.7%35.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

FC Tokyo

WDWWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 6 / 10

2026-09-19Nagoya Grampus (H)1–0
2026-09-12Gamba Osaka (A)2–0
2026-09-06Kyoto (H)2–0
2026-09-02Shimizu S-Pulse (A)1–1
2026-08-29V-Varen Nagasaki (A)3–0

Urawa Reds

WWWLW

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Verdy (H)3–1
2026-09-13Okayama (H)1–2
2026-09-06Kashima Antlers (A)1–0
2026-09-02Avispa Fukuoka (A)3–2
2026-08-29Yokohama F. Marinos (H)3–2

Head to head

2025-07-19 · FC Tokyo 3–2 Urawa Reds

2025-05-17 · Urawa Reds 3–2 FC Tokyo

2024-09-21 · Urawa Reds 0–2 FC Tokyo

2024-04-03 · FC Tokyo 2–1 Urawa Reds

2023-07-08 · Urawa Reds 0–0 FC Tokyo

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:55+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 5c0d4e2d4516be93b23f5dfda16209d037b5a132b956a253ec2f615e87ec4850
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →