Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction
A
2026-10-29 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-29T19:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Fiorentina (H) at 43.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 43.9%
Low12 · 74.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:51+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 28.1% | 38.1% | 33.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 43.9% | 25.2% | 30.9% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 32.5% | 24.6% | 42.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-25. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Fiorentina
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Atalanta
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-22 · Fiorentina 1–1 Atalanta
2025-11-30 · Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina
2025-03-30 · Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta
2024-09-15 · Atalanta 3–2 Fiorentina
2024-06-02 · Atalanta 2–3 Fiorentina
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-25
Data fingerprint: 1af511e7fdc222dc0a4da2c24c6e463faf15424407e49465e4b6ef350e1a4b6d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1