Fiorentina vs Como prediction
C2026-10-18 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Fiorentina vs Como prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Como (A) at 46.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:57+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–3
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 46.7%
Low12 · 74.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:57+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.2% | 36.2% | 37.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 27.6% | 25.6% | 46.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 34.5% | 26.2% | 39.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Fiorentina
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Como
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-02-14 · Como 1–2 Fiorentina
2025-09-21 · Fiorentina 1–2 Como
2025-02-16 · Fiorentina 0–2 Como
2024-11-24 · Como 0–2 Fiorentina
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 7f170d77a9d48e2e434447c7ae4783e284c5e36340936162f07ba7230dc61195
Model: existing-source-policy-v1