Kickstatix football crestKICKSTATIXFOOTBALL. WITH THE FACTS.
Every match. Every call.
Our track record ↗
← FOOTBALL PREDICTIONS

Flamengo RJ vs Gremio prediction

2026-11-04 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-11-04T22:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Flamengo RJ vs Gremio match analysis

What is the Flamengo RJ vs Gremio prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Flamengo RJ (H) at 84.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 95.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 84.6%

Low
1 84.6%X 10.9%2 4.5%
Double chance

1X · 95.5%

Low
1X 95.5%X2 15.4%12 89.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 84.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 31%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings56.8%26.6%16.6%
Market · margin removed84.6%10.9%4.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.9%24.7%21.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Flamengo RJ

DWWWW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-29Vasco (A)4–1
2026-10-26Atletico-MG (H)3–2
2026-10-18Bahia (A)3–0
2026-10-11Fluminense (H)1–0
2026-10-08Santos (A)2–2

Gremio

DDLWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-30Athletico-PR (H)2–0
2026-10-26Coritiba (A)1–0
2026-10-18Cruzeiro (H)2–4
2026-10-11Internacional (H)1–1
2026-10-07Remo (A)1–1

Head to head

2026-05-10 · Gremio 0–1 Flamengo RJ

2025-08-31 · Flamengo RJ 1–1 Gremio

2025-04-13 · Gremio 0–2 Flamengo RJ

2024-09-22 · Gremio 3–2 Flamengo RJ

2024-06-14 · Flamengo RJ 2–1 Gremio

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-03T10:36:18+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-30
Data fingerprint: bc917cf76d0474623cd8215de208024fe190ee99d7d3538658c18e7025471e54
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →