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For Sittard vs Excelsior prediction

2026-10-25 · N1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T11:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the For Sittard vs Excelsior match analysis

What is the For Sittard vs Excelsior prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: For Sittard (H) at 40.6%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 40.6%

Low
1 40.6%X 25.7%2 33.7%
Double chance

12 · 74.3%

Low
1X 66.3%X2 59.4%12 74.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 40.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.7%34.7%24.7%
Market · margin removed40.6%25.7%33.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson47.8%24.0%28.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

For Sittard

WLWDD

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-18Nijmegen (A)2–2
2026-10-10Twente (H)1–1
2026-09-19Willem II (A)1–0
2026-09-12Ajax (H)1–5
2026-09-06Den Haag (A)3–2

Excelsior

DLDLL

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-16Heerenveen (A)0–4
2026-10-11Groningen (H)1–5
2026-09-19Ajax (A)2–2
2026-09-13Utrecht (H)1–2
2026-09-08Nijmegen (A)2–2

Head to head

2026-02-20 · For Sittard 2–1 Excelsior

2025-10-19 · Excelsior 1–0 For Sittard

2024-03-03 · For Sittard 5–2 Excelsior

2023-08-26 · Excelsior 2–2 For Sittard

2023-05-21 · Excelsior 3–0 For Sittard

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:10:03+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: ab910b166205e4a75ed780d1e2e3e5a758136c5819afa7dc27d6c6e0ba3dd6e0
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →