Forest Green vs Hartlepool prediction
H
2026-10-10 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-10T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Forest Green vs Hartlepool prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Forest Green (H) at 57.2%. The double-chance call is 1X at 79.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–4
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 57.2%
Medium1X · 79.6%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:28+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 57.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.3% | 32.3% | 22.3% |
| Market · margin removed | 57.2% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 59.2% | 22.6% | 18.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Forest Green
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Hartlepool
Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-18 · Hartlepool 2–1 Forest Green
2025-09-06 · Forest Green 1–0 Hartlepool
2025-05-05 · Hartlepool 1–1 Forest Green
2024-09-28 · Forest Green 1–0 Hartlepool
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 1740c05346eb6473c436f57a0ccf17bc3775ba9fb6b051131177edb441247fcd
Model: existing-source-policy-v1