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Forfar vs Elgin prediction

2026-10-10 · SC3 · Kickoff 2026-10-10T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Forfar vs Elgin match analysis

What is the Forfar vs Elgin prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Elgin (A) at 47.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–2

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 47.5%

Low
1 27.3%X 25.1%2 47.5%
Double chance

12 · 74.9%

Low
1X 52.5%X2 72.7%12 74.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 47.5%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.3%36.9%26.9%
Market · margin removed27.3%25.1%47.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson41.7%27.7%30.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Forfar

DLLWL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-03Dumbarton (A)1–2
2026-09-19Annan Athletic (H)1–0
2026-09-12Spartans (A)1–5
2026-09-05Stranraer (H)0–3
2026-08-28Edinburgh City (A)1–1

Elgin

WLLLW

Scored / game: 2.50
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-03Clyde (H)6–2
2026-09-19Stranraer (H)1–5
2026-09-12Annan Athletic (A)0–2
2026-09-05Dumbarton (A)1–2
2026-08-29Stirling (H)4–0

Head to head

2026-08-08 · Elgin 1–1 Forfar

2026-04-04 · Forfar 2–1 Elgin

2026-03-24 · Elgin 2–0 Forfar

2025-12-27 · Forfar 4–2 Elgin

2025-10-04 · Elgin 2–1 Forfar

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-03
Data fingerprint: 2d53958de0fcaa352321a82a66f1ab48e27633f34e8d5cd60c5fc6dd2feb15cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →