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Fredrikstad vs Tromso prediction

2026-10-11 · NOR · Kickoff 2026-10-11T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Fredrikstad vs Tromso match analysis

What is the Fredrikstad vs Tromso prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Tromso (A) at 38.2%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 38.2%

Low
1 34.7%X 27.1%2 38.2%
Double chance

12 · 72.9%

Low
1X 61.8%X2 65.3%12 72.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 38.2%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 16%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings29.1%39.1%31.8%
Market · margin removed34.7%27.1%38.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.2%25.7%29.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Fredrikstad

WWLDD

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-20Valerenga (A)1–1
2026-09-13Sarpsborg 08 (H)1–1
2026-09-04Bodo/Glimt (H)1–2
2026-08-30Lillestrom (A)4–1
2026-08-16Kristiansund (H)1–0

Tromso

LDLLW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-20HamKam (H)3–2
2026-09-12Rosenborg (A)3–5
2026-09-06Kristiansund (A)0–2
2026-08-30Sarpsborg 08 (H)0–0
2026-08-16Molde (A)2–3

Head to head

2026-03-15 · Tromso 4–0 Fredrikstad

2025-08-02 · Tromso 0–0 Fredrikstad

2025-06-29 · Fredrikstad 0–1 Tromso

2024-05-29 · Tromso 3–0 Fredrikstad

2024-05-25 · Fredrikstad 0–0 Tromso

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:58+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 6eb47e93cdf415bf6b8964450296fe16de8ef5e1d4aea33619fb7ea2d13987cc
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →