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Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction

2026-11-08 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T16:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Freiburg vs Union Berlin match analysis

What is the Freiburg vs Union Berlin prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Freiburg (H) at 64.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 64.5%

Medium
1 64.5%X 21.0%2 14.5%
Double chance

1X · 85.5%

Medium
1X 85.5%X2 35.5%12 79.0%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:36+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 64.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings46.1%32.0%22.0%
Market · margin removed64.5%21.0%14.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson50.7%25.3%23.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Freiburg

DWLLW

Scored / game: 2.40
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31Augsburg (A)2–1
2026-10-25Bayern Munich (H)1–3
2026-10-18Leverkusen (A)1–2
2026-10-11Schalke 04 (H)2–1
2026-09-19Ein Frankfurt (A)2–2

Union Berlin

LWDDD

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-01FC Koln (H)1–1
2026-10-24Augsburg (A)1–1
2026-10-17Dortmund (H)0–0
2026-10-10Elversberg (H)1–0
2026-09-18Bayern Munich (A)0–7

Head to head

2026-03-15 · Freiburg 0–1 Union Berlin

2025-11-01 · Union Berlin 0–0 Freiburg

2025-03-30 · Freiburg 1–2 Union Berlin

2024-11-08 · Union Berlin 0–0 Freiburg

2024-05-18 · Union Berlin 2–1 Freiburg

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:36+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 1ad8acd88d465fdbb3adc802948c615b7b704087eb05c5cb77c85a833f29c386
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →