Fylde vs Carlisle prediction
C2026-09-29 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-29T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Fylde vs Carlisle prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Fylde (H) at 39.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-29T09:16:54+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 39.9%
Low12 · 76.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-29T09:16:54+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 39.9%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 15%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 26.4% | 36.4% | 37.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 39.9% | 23.9% | 36.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.6% | 21.4% | 51.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-26. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Fylde
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Carlisle
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-26
Data fingerprint: c7a6d205c7c2970e1808c05457c94d7ff0e79e100b07c2ce6a6d65ada9bcdab4
Model: existing-source-policy-v1