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Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa prediction

2026-10-09 · T1 · Kickoff 2026-10-09T17:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa match analysis

What is the Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Galatasaray (H) at 75.9%. The double-chance call is 1X at 91.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 75.9%

Low
1 75.9%X 15.9%2 8.2%
Double chance

1X · 91.8%

Low
1X 91.8%X2 24.1%12 84.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:51+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 75.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings58.7%25.7%15.7%
Market · margin removed75.9%15.9%8.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson81.1%12.1%6.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Galatasaray

WWWWL

Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Trabzonspor (A)0–4
2026-09-13Kocaelispor (H)1–0
2026-09-04Buyuksehyr (A)3–2
2026-08-29Goztep (H)3–2
2026-08-21Erzurumspor (A)4–0

Kasimpasa

WDDWD

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-18Konyaspor (H)0–0
2026-09-13Genclerbirligi (A)2–1
2026-09-06Amedspor (H)2–2
2026-08-30Buyuksehyr (A)1–1
2026-08-22Corum (A)1–0

Head to head

2026-05-17 · Kasimpasa 1–0 Galatasaray

2025-12-21 · Galatasaray 3–0 Kasimpasa

2025-03-02 · Kasimpasa 3–3 Galatasaray

2024-09-28 · Galatasaray 3–3 Kasimpasa

2024-03-17 · Kasimpasa 3–4 Galatasaray

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T10:14:51+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: bdc5bb3da995d330adcecc07c4b8d20ed32999cf995f7fc3bd605c4e353da1c6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →