Galway vs Shamrock Rovers prediction
SR2026-10-16 · IRL · Kickoff 2026-10-16T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Galway vs Shamrock Rovers prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Shamrock Rovers (A) at 53.6%. The double-chance call is X2 at 78.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 53.6%
LowX2 · 78.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 53.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 11%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 23.7% | 33.7% | 42.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 21.6% | 24.9% | 53.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 22.8% | 26.2% | 50.9% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Galway
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Shamrock Rovers
Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-06-26 · Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Galway
2026-05-08 · Galway 1–3 Shamrock Rovers
2026-03-20 · Shamrock Rovers 2–0 Galway
2025-10-28 · Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Galway
2025-08-10 · Galway 0–0 Shamrock Rovers
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 085e3a63349a2de6dde45cfd1f9428a6bf94e9587cb2bc2ef8c7c86e7d8db030
Model: existing-source-policy-v1