Gateshead vs Southend prediction
S2026-09-19 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Gateshead vs Southend prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Southend (A) at 61.2%. The double-chance call is X2 at 82.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:07:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–6
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 61.2%
MediumX2 · 82.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:07:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 61.2%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.8% | 32.8% | 44.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 17.5% | 21.3% | 61.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 31.6% | 25.9% | 42.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: 4a8d4ba78f81318cec71687015ae9764f211fe8ebf5a4eb2f321a0c4dccdd1f7
Model: existing-source-policy-v1