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Gateshead vs Tamworth prediction

2026-10-23 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-23T18:45:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Gateshead vs Tamworth match analysis

What is the Gateshead vs Tamworth prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Gateshead (H) at 47.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T18:49:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

GG · 60.0%

GG 60.0%NG 40.0%
OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Over 2.5 · 62.5%

Over 2.5 62.5%Under 2.5 37.5%
1X2

1 · 47.9%

Low
1 47.9%X 23.1%2 29.0%
Double chance

12 · 76.9%

Low
1X 71.0%X2 52.1%12 76.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T18:49:35+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Quote captured 2026-10-23T17:26:32+00:00. 18.5 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-23T17:45:23+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 58.8%

Awaiting result

1 20.6%2 58.8%X 20.6%
Market double chance prediction

X2 · 79.4%

Awaiting result

12 79.4%1X 41.2%X2 79.4%
TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 47.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings27.6%37.6%34.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson50.1%21.9%27.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Gateshead

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.50
Conceded / game: 2.60
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-10Halifax (A)1–4
2026-10-03Worthing (H)1–2
2026-09-29Altrincham (H)0–1
2026-09-26Wealdstone (A)0–4
2026-09-19Southend (H)1–6

Tamworth

WLWWL

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-10Barrow (H)1–2
2026-10-03Hartlepool (A)1–0
2026-09-30Sutton (H)2–0
2026-09-26Aldershot (A)1–5
2026-09-19Wealdstone (H)2–1

Head to head

2026-01-03 · Tamworth 3–1 Gateshead

2025-08-23 · Gateshead 2–1 Tamworth

2025-03-22 · Gateshead 0–2 Tamworth

2024-10-08 · Tamworth 2–1 Gateshead

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T18:49:35+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 3dcabb650da7ac0bde932615aa61af817457a2eb8e42770743363156d382045d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →