Genoa vs Milan prediction
M
2026-11-08 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Genoa vs Milan prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Milan (A) at 53.3%. The double-chance call is X2 at 79.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 53.3%
LowX2 · 79.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:56+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 53.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 24.2% | 34.2% | 41.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 20.4% | 26.3% | 53.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 25.6% | 25.6% | 48.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Genoa
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Milan
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-17 · Genoa 1–2 Milan
2026-01-08 · Milan 1–1 Genoa
2025-05-05 · Genoa 1–2 Milan
2024-12-15 · Milan 0–0 Genoa
2024-05-05 · Milan 3–3 Genoa
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 82c418b37eaef7de41d7efe459abbed78665de61cf3e87dfcaf9a6484eec3fd9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1