Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano prediction
B2026-11-05 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-05T22:15:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Gimnasia L.P. (H) at 38.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-03T10:36:15+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.1%
Low12 · 73.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-03T10:36:15+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 10%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 36.3% | 36.8% | 26.8% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.1% | 26.9% | 35.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 40.0% | 30.4% | 29.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Gimnasia L.P.
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Belgrano
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-26 · Belgrano 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
2024-08-26 · Belgrano 0–1 Gimnasia L.P.
2023-04-16 · Gimnasia L.P. 0–2 Belgrano
2018-11-02 · Belgrano 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.
2017-11-25 · Belgrano 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: 9c1d55fdd51d6f36d98cba271903b78a7ba73e7495e4ffa697f6e6bcbd163853
Model: existing-source-policy-v1