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Girona vs Mallorca prediction

2026-10-04 · SP2 · Kickoff 2026-10-04T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Girona vs Mallorca match analysis

What is the Girona vs Mallorca prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Girona (H) at 43.8%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:19:02+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 43.8%

Low
1 43.8%X 27.4%2 28.8%
Double chance

12 · 72.6%

Low
1X 71.2%X2 56.2%12 72.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:19:02+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.8%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 9%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
Method1X2
Elo ratings36.3%36.8%26.8%
Market · margin removed43.8%27.4%28.8%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson39.8%31.4%28.9%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-28. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Girona

WWLWW

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.14
Clean sheets: 2 / 7

2026-09-25Albacete (H)2–0
2026-09-19Cadiz (A)2–1
2026-09-12Castellon (H)1–2
2026-09-05Sp Gijon (A)2–0
2026-08-29Las Palmas (H)5–2

Mallorca

WDWWL

Scored / game: 1.14
Conceded / game: 0.43
Clean sheets: 5 / 7

2026-09-27Almeria (H)0–1
2026-09-19Sociedad B (A)1–0
2026-09-13Sabadell (H)2–0
2026-09-05Eldense (A)0–0
2026-08-30Ceuta (H)3–0

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:19:02+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-28
Data fingerprint: 1f3499db07b46f5e855a3145829197deb8ad0bbb72d601ae0b2b58ca24defd2d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →