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GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction

2026-10-17 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-17T15:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin match analysis

What is the GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: GKS Katowice (H) at 48.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.6%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-13T16:03:30+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 48.9%

Low
1 48.9%X 24.4%2 26.7%
Double chance

12 · 75.6%

Low
1X 73.3%X2 51.1%12 75.6%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-13T16:03:30+00:00, before kickoff.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

Quote captured 2026-10-17T14:26:13+00:00. 3.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-17T14:30:06+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

1 · 47.3%

✕ Wrong
1 47.3%2 26.4%X 26.4%
Market double chance prediction

1X · 73.6%

✕ Wrong
12 73.6%1X 73.6%X2 52.7%
TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is hp_goals_blend_raw; H has probability 48.9%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
  • Fixture sourced from the market schedule; market prices are excluded from this model forecast.
Method1X2
Elo ratings34.6%37.7%27.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson47.0%24.3%28.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

GKS Katowice

LLWWW

Scored / game: 2.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-12Wieczysta Krakow (H)2–1
2026-10-09Rakow (A)4–1
2026-09-19Cracovia (H)3–2
2026-09-12Zaglebie (A)1–2
2026-09-04Piast Gliwice (A)0–3

Pogon Szczecin

DDWWW

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-11Korona Kielce (H)2–0
2026-09-20Piast Gliwice (A)2–1
2026-09-13Wieczysta Krakow (H)2–0
2026-09-07Wisla Plock (H)1–1
2026-08-29Zaglebie (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-05-23 · Pogon Szczecin 1–1 GKS Katowice

2025-11-29 · GKS Katowice 2–0 Pogon Szczecin

2025-04-06 · Pogon Szczecin 4–0 GKS Katowice

2024-09-27 · GKS Katowice 3–1 Pogon Szczecin

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-13T16:03:30+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →