Gnistan vs AC Oulu prediction
AO2026-10-24 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Gnistan vs AC Oulu prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Gnistan (H) at 44.3%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:57:07+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 3–4
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.3%
Low12 · 73.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:57:07+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.3%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 41.8% | 34.1% | 24.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.3% | 26.5% | 29.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 49.4% | 22.4% | 28.2% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-21. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Gnistan
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
AC Oulu
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-09-12 · AC Oulu 1–2 Gnistan
2026-07-18 · AC Oulu 0–2 Gnistan
2026-04-04 · Gnistan 1–5 AC Oulu
2025-08-25 · Gnistan 3–2 AC Oulu
2025-05-10 · AC Oulu 2–3 Gnistan
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-21
Data fingerprint: 52980b68a9074c9a2f4b5204b7048fe6dab581a7d7dcfde314c0a6df6f90f165
Model: existing-source-policy-v1