Gnistan vs VPS prediction
V2026-11-08 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-11-08T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Gnistan vs VPS prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Gnistan (H) at 46.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 76.1%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:18+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 5–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 46.7%
Low12 · 76.1%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:18+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 46.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.8% | 35.6% | 25.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 46.7% | 23.9% | 29.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.5% | 24.2% | 34.3% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Gnistan
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
VPS
Scored / game: 0.20
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-10-12 · VPS 1–0 Gnistan
2026-06-27 · Gnistan 1–1 VPS
2026-05-09 · VPS 1–1 Gnistan
2025-08-15 · Gnistan 0–0 VPS
2025-06-18 · VPS 0–0 Gnistan
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: fa5b904ef5a3a762fabda7f1c7b180f3b919163e3fc8eaf7003f3e014fe6e4e9
Model: existing-source-policy-v1