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Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction

2026-10-18 · POL · Kickoff 2026-10-18T10:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice match analysis

What is the Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Gornik Zabrze (H) at 58.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 58.6%

Medium
1 58.6%X 23.3%2 18.1%
Double chance

1X · 81.9%

Medium
1X 81.9%X2 41.4%12 76.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.6%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.0%31.5%21.5%
Market · margin removed58.6%23.3%18.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson49.0%27.0%24.1%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Gornik Zabrze

WWWDW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-10Jagiellonia (A)3–1
2026-09-19Motor Lublin (A)0–0
2026-09-15Korona Kielce (A)2–0
2026-09-12Lech Poznan (H)2–1
2026-09-06Cracovia (A)1–0

Piast Gliwice

WWWLW

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-11Widzew Lodz (H)2–1
2026-09-20Pogon Szczecin (H)1–2
2026-09-14Radomiak Radom (A)2–0
2026-09-04GKS Katowice (H)3–0
2026-08-29Motor Lublin (A)2–0

Head to head

2026-01-31 · Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Piast Gliwice

2025-07-26 · Piast Gliwice 0–1 Gornik Zabrze

2025-05-17 · Piast Gliwice 2–0 Gornik Zabrze

2024-11-24 · Gornik Zabrze 1–0 Piast Gliwice

2024-02-10 · Piast Gliwice 1–3 Gornik Zabrze

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:46+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 5bed97990eea5a3b45ce3b3e4084f9e5a6308eb1693b788679d88dd9a655e037
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →