Gremio vs Athletico-PR prediction
A2026-10-30 · BRA · Kickoff 2026-10-30T00:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Gremio vs Athletico-PR prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Gremio (H) at 37.0%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:39:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 37.0%
Low12 · 72.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:39:36+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 37.0%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 21%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.8% | 37.8% | 34.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 37.0% | 27.4% | 35.6% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 48.9% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Gremio
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Athletico-PR
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-03 · Athletico-PR 0–0 Gremio
2024-08-04 · Athletico-PR 0–2 Gremio
2024-04-17 · Gremio 2–0 Athletico-PR
2023-10-18 · Gremio 1–2 Athletico-PR
2023-05-27 · Athletico-PR 1–2 Gremio
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-20
Data fingerprint: 2d286b196b1077ac95eb79158e825d845b6dd40b7b39a2f4bd746d02aca23f61
Model: existing-source-policy-v1