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Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction

2026-10-16 · F2 · Kickoff 2026-10-16T18:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Grenoble vs Boulogne match analysis

What is the Grenoble vs Boulogne prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Draw (D) at 30.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 69.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:52+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 0–2

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

X · 30.9%

Low
1 33.5%X 30.9%2 35.6%
Double chance

12 · 69.1%

Low
1X 64.4%X2 66.5%12 69.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:52+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; D has probability 30.9%.
  • The existing decision policy selects a draw in this close match; the published pick differs from the largest probability.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.6%35.2%25.2%
Market · margin removed33.5%30.9%35.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson46.5%30.0%23.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Grenoble

WLWDL

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-09Montpellier (A)0–2
2026-09-18Clermont (H)1–1
2026-09-11Rodez (A)1–0
2026-09-04Annecy (H)1–2
2026-08-28Laval (A)3–0

Boulogne

DDDLD

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-10-09Sochaux (A)1–1
2026-09-19Nantes (H)1–2
2026-09-11Clermont (A)0–0
2026-09-04Dijon (H)1–1
2026-08-28Montpellier (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-02-27 · Grenoble 0–0 Boulogne

2025-11-21 · Boulogne 3–1 Grenoble

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:52+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 75eed4068c74594140e29c2389560d301b0ccca5d67af29efc282c42de4ec944
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →