Grimsby vs Crawley Town prediction
CT
2026-09-19 · E3 · Kickoff 2026-09-19T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Grimsby vs Crawley Town prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Grimsby (H) at 65.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:07:05+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 65.4%
Medium1X · 85.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:07:05+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 65.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 15%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 51.7% | 29.2% | 19.2% |
| Market · margin removed | 65.4% | 20.1% | 14.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.3% | 24.3% | 25.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-12
Data fingerprint: 0a0ba19d9eb291e7cf665a7c39204c7d56461b29a73750bf16c7b1ada3b6040c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1