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Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction

2026-10-18 · MEX · Kickoff 2026-10-17T23:07:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL match analysis

What is the Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Guadalajara Chivas (H) at 52.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:39+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–1

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 52.6%

Low
1 52.6%X 24.5%2 22.9%
Double chance

1X · 77.1%

Low
1X 77.1%X2 47.4%12 75.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:39+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 52.6%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 20%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.6%35.2%25.2%
Market · margin removed52.6%24.5%22.9%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson32.7%29.7%37.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Guadalajara Chivas

WWDLD

Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-11Atlas (A)1–1
2026-09-27Queretaro (H)0–2
2026-09-20Club America (A)2–2
2026-09-14UNAM Pumas (H)3–0
2026-09-06Atl. San Luis (A)3–0

Tigres UANL

DDLWW

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Toluca (H)3–2
2026-09-27Puebla (H)1–0
2026-09-19Juarez (A)0–2
2026-09-13Monterrey (A)0–0
2026-09-06Necaxa (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-05-10 · Guadalajara Chivas 2–0 Tigres UANL

2026-05-03 · Tigres UANL 3–1 Guadalajara Chivas

2026-04-12 · Tigres UANL 4–1 Guadalajara Chivas

2025-09-18 · Guadalajara Chivas 0–0 Tigres UANL

2025-01-26 · Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 Tigres UANL

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:39+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 19cee87c099e58c298de2e43624645d85474709f94708cc7916e06b7be489b64
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →