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Hamburg vs M'gladbach prediction

2026-11-06 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-11-06T19:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Hamburg vs M'gladbach match analysis

What is the Hamburg vs M'gladbach prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Hamburg (H) at 41.4%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.1%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 41.4%

Low
1 41.4%X 25.9%2 32.7%
Double chance

12 · 74.1%

Low
1X 67.3%X2 58.6%12 74.1%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 41.4%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings40.1%35.0%25.0%
Market · margin removed41.4%25.9%32.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson38.1%25.0%36.8%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Hamburg

WWWLL

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 2.20
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-11-01Ein Frankfurt (A)1–3
2026-10-24Paderborn (A)0–1
2026-10-17Stuttgart (H)1–0
2026-10-10Hoffenheim (A)3–2
2026-09-19FC Koln (H)2–1

M'gladbach

LLLWD

Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 2.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31Paderborn (H)0–0
2026-10-23Stuttgart (A)3–2
2026-10-18Hoffenheim (H)1–2
2026-10-11FC Koln (A)1–2
2026-09-19Mainz (H)3–4

Head to head

2026-01-17 · Hamburg 0–0 M'gladbach

2025-08-24 · M'gladbach 0–0 Hamburg

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T11:27:35+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 1ad8acd88d465fdbb3adc802948c615b7b704087eb05c5cb77c85a833f29c386
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →