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Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction

2026-10-17 · D1 · Kickoff 2026-10-17T13:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match analysis

What is the Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Stuttgart (A) at 53.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 77.3%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T08:39:25+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 1–0

1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 53.1%

Low
1 24.2%X 22.7%2 53.1%
Double chance

12 · 77.3%

Low
1X 46.9%X2 75.8%12 77.3%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T08:39:25+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 53.1%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings26.8%36.8%36.5%
Market · margin removed24.2%22.7%53.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson26.5%23.2%50.4%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Hamburg

LLLWW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 2.40
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-10-10Hoffenheim (A)3–2
2026-09-19FC Koln (H)2–1
2026-09-13RB Leipzig (A)0–5
2026-09-06Mainz (H)0–5
2026-08-29Dortmund (A)0–2

Stuttgart

LWLLW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 2.00
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-10Paderborn (A)2–0
2026-09-19Dortmund (H)0–1
2026-09-12Hoffenheim (A)1–2
2026-09-04FC Koln (H)4–1
2026-08-28Bayern Munich (A)1–5

Head to head

2026-04-12 · Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburg

2025-11-30 · Hamburg 2–1 Stuttgart

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T08:39:25+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: 5fdaaa4cd0c54a8fb1d72177af45ec30a598c85eac1d702153be00e95a148a78
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →