Hamilton vs East Fife prediction
EF2026-10-24 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-10-24T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Hamilton vs East Fife prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Hamilton (H) at 73.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 90.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:10:11+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 73.0%
Medium1X · 90.3%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:10:11+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 73.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 19%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 53.9% | 28.0% | 18.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 73.0% | 17.4% | 9.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 70.7% | 19.2% | 10.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-17. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Hamilton
Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 0.30
Clean sheets: 7 / 10
East Fife
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-22 · East Fife 0–0 Hamilton
2026-03-07 · East Fife 0–3 Hamilton
2026-02-17 · Hamilton 1–0 East Fife
2025-11-01 · East Fife 1–1 Hamilton
2025-08-16 · Hamilton 1–2 East Fife
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-17
Data fingerprint: ddd576f4eb198b84590ba50cac03abf9872a6a9d8ea64c315e11d6f871941b22
Model: existing-source-policy-v1