Hamilton vs Montrose prediction
M2026-10-31 · SC2 · Kickoff 2026-10-31T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Hamilton vs Montrose prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Hamilton (H) at 65.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-30T09:55:55+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 65.5%
Medium1X · 85.5%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-30T09:55:55+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 65.5%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 16%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 49.9% | 30.0% | 20.0% |
| Market · margin removed | 65.5% | 20.0% | 14.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 64.5% | 20.5% | 15.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-27. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Hamilton
Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 0.50
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Montrose
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2026-08-01 · Montrose 0–5 Hamilton
2026-04-18 · Montrose 0–2 Hamilton
2026-02-28 · Hamilton 1–1 Montrose
2025-10-18 · Montrose 0–4 Hamilton
2025-08-02 · Hamilton 2–0 Montrose
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-27
Data fingerprint: cd83c6330714878dc9a89cae0627800ff06497dce0c3d500fa9783da1fc9aa4e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1