Hammarby vs Sirius prediction
S2026-10-29 · SWE · Kickoff 2026-10-29T17:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Hammarby vs Sirius prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Hammarby (H) at 63.7%. The double-chance call is 1X at 85.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-27T12:40:07+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 63.7%
Low1X · 85.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-27T12:40:07+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 63.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 25%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 38.9% | 35.6% | 25.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 63.7% | 21.3% | 15.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 61.3% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Hammarby
Scored / game: 1.80
Conceded / game: 0.70
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Sirius
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
Head to head
2026-04-13 · Sirius 2–0 Hammarby
2025-08-24 · Sirius 3–1 Hammarby
2025-05-14 · Hammarby 3–2 Sirius
2024-10-26 · Sirius 0–3 Hammarby
2024-05-26 · Hammarby 3–0 Sirius
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 874510f4b76429d9f94681f1650ba04f79094badafee08a8cd3f8029b5acd49d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1