Harrogate vs Eastleigh prediction
E
2026-09-26 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-26T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Harrogate vs Eastleigh prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Harrogate (H) at 58.8%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-25T08:31:01+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 4–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 58.8%
Low1X · 81.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-25T08:31:01+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.8%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 18%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 40.7% | 34.6% | 24.6% |
| Market · margin removed | 58.8% | 22.6% | 18.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 55.7% | 19.9% | 24.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 72ba8d2b793d137cc5a9d428f71f997a6fc6080a18f6d6b29f598deecf8ac3cf
Model: existing-source-policy-v1