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Harrogate vs Hornchurch prediction

2026-10-03 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-03T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Harrogate vs Hornchurch match analysis

What is the Harrogate vs Hornchurch prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Harrogate (H) at 59.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.4%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 59.0%

Low
1 59.0%X 22.5%2 18.6%
Double chance

1X · 81.4%

Low
1X 81.4%X2 41.0%12 77.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 59.0%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 22%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings37.8%36.1%26.1%
Market · margin removed59.0%22.5%18.6%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson59.3%20.2%20.5%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-30. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Harrogate

WLLWW

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-29Hartlepool (A)1–0
2026-09-26Eastleigh (H)4–1
2026-09-19Boreham Wood (A)1–4
2026-09-15Fylde (H)1–2
2026-09-12Tamworth (H)3–1

Hornchurch

LLWLW

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.60
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-09-29Aldershot (H)2–1
2026-09-26Altrincham (A)0–3
2026-09-19Scunthorpe (H)1–0
2026-09-15Worthing (A)0–1
2026-09-12Halifax (A)0–3

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-02T09:18:36+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-30
Data fingerprint: 1baa92182415e7a586104b833a48e57c345a00eae00fc0e4fab0f2f939b59612
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →