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Harrogate vs Sutton prediction

2026-10-24 · EC · Kickoff 2026-10-24T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Harrogate vs Sutton match analysis

What is the Harrogate vs Sutton prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Harrogate (H) at 56.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 80.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 56.4%

Low
1 56.4%X 24.1%2 19.5%
Double chance

1X · 80.5%

Low
1X 80.5%X2 43.6%12 75.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.4%.
  • Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 23%. Confidence reduced to Low.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.6%32.2%22.2%
Market · margin removed56.4%24.1%19.5%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson68.6%17.2%14.2%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-10. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Harrogate

LWWWW

Scored / game: 1.90
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Woking (A)1–0
2026-10-03Hornchurch (H)3–0
2026-09-29Hartlepool (A)1–0
2026-09-26Eastleigh (H)4–1
2026-09-19Boreham Wood (A)1–4

Sutton

DDLDL

Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10

2026-10-09Boreham Wood (H)0–2
2026-10-03Kidderminster (A)1–1
2026-09-30Tamworth (A)0–2
2026-09-26Forest Green (H)3–3
2026-09-19Halifax (A)1–1

Head to head

No prior meetings in this archived dataset.

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T14:09:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-10
Data fingerprint: 3dcabb650da7ac0bde932615aa61af817457a2eb8e42770743363156d382045d
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →