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Hartberg vs A. Lustenau prediction

2026-10-11 · AUT · Kickoff 2026-10-11T12:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Hartberg vs A. Lustenau match analysis

What is the Hartberg vs A. Lustenau prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Hartberg (H) at 46.9%. The double-chance call is 12 at 73.9%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-09T08:12:36+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 4–3

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 46.9%

Low
1 46.9%X 26.1%2 27.0%
Double chance

12 · 73.9%

Low
1X 73.0%X2 53.1%12 73.9%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-09T08:12:36+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 46.9%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 8%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings47.6%31.2%21.2%
Market · margin removed46.9%26.1%27.0%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson53.2%22.8%24.0%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Hartberg

LWWDD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.90
Clean sheets: 0 / 10

2026-09-20LASK (H)3–3
2026-09-13Tirol (A)2–2
2026-08-30Ried (H)3–2
2026-08-22Altach (A)2–1
2026-08-16Austria Vienna (H)0–2

A. Lustenau

WDLLW

Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-09-19Altach (H)2–0
2026-09-13Austria Vienna (A)1–2
2026-08-28Tirol (H)0–4
2026-08-22Sturm Graz (A)1–1
2026-08-15Wolfsberger AC (H)2–1

Head to head

2023-10-29 · A. Lustenau 0–4 Hartberg

2023-07-29 · Hartberg 2–2 A. Lustenau

2023-06-02 · A. Lustenau 5–1 Hartberg

2023-03-31 · Hartberg 0–1 A. Lustenau

2022-11-05 · Hartberg 1–1 A. Lustenau

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-09T08:12:36+00:00
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 69836bf347c15eb5c26608e9129a06709f1c3e439bdb0e84b1c9f70b2ff9b462
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →