Hartlepool vs Worthing prediction
W
2026-09-19 · EC · Kickoff 2026-09-19T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Hartlepool vs Worthing prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Hartlepool (H) at 44.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.4%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:07:16+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–3
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 44.1%
Low12 · 75.4%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:07:16+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 44.1%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 14%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 35.3% | 37.4% | 27.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 44.1% | 24.6% | 31.3% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 41.5% | 23.3% | 35.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-16
Data fingerprint: 4a8d4ba78f81318cec71687015ae9764f211fe8ebf5a4eb2f321a0c4dccdd1f7
Model: existing-source-policy-v1