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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan prediction

2026-10-24 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-24T07:30:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan match analysis

What is the Henan Songshan Longmen vs Beijing Guoan prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Beijing Guoan (A) at 44.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.5%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-23T11:56:53+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 3–4

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

2 · 44.7%

Low
1 30.7%X 24.5%2 44.7%
Double chance

12 · 75.5%

Low
1X 55.3%X2 69.3%12 75.5%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-23T11:56:53+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 44.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 10%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings25.0%35.0%40.0%
Market · margin removed30.7%24.5%44.7%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson29.8%26.5%43.7%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-18. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Henan Songshan Longmen

DDDDL

Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (H)0–1
2026-10-09Shenzhen Xinpengcheng (A)2–2
2026-09-12Wuhan Three Towns (A)1–1
2026-09-06Chengdu Rongcheng (H)0–0
2026-08-29Chongqing Tonglianglong (H)1–1

Beijing Guoan

DDDWW

Scored / game: 2.30
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 5 / 10

2026-10-18Qingdao West Coast (H)1–0
2026-10-09Qingdao Hainiu (A)3–0
2026-09-05Shanghai Port (A)0–0
2026-08-28Dalian Yingbo (A)1–1
2026-08-22Yunnan Yukun (H)3–3

Head to head

2026-05-23 · Beijing Guoan 1–2 Henan Songshan Longmen

2025-09-12 · Henan Songshan Longmen 2–0 Beijing Guoan

2025-04-25 · Beijing Guoan 1–0 Henan Songshan Longmen

2024-11-02 · Beijing Guoan 1–1 Henan Songshan Longmen

2024-06-15 · Henan Songshan Longmen 2–1 Beijing Guoan

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-23T11:56:53+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-18
Data fingerprint: 6361dfe1470acae0a494874ca6678a7a7accc12452895dfda71831188ec25127
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →