Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger prediction
TJT2026-10-16 · CHN · Kickoff 2026-10-16T11:35:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Henan Songshan Longmen vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Henan Songshan Longmen (H) at 48.3%. The double-chance call is 1X at 75.3%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 0–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 48.3%
Low1X · 75.3%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:17+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.3%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 17%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 31.3% | 39.4% | 29.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 48.3% | 27.0% | 24.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.1% | 27.3% | 27.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-11. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Henan Songshan Longmen
Scored / game: 1.70
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-19 · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1–2 Henan Songshan Longmen
2025-09-28 · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1–0 Henan Songshan Longmen
2025-05-05 · Henan Songshan Longmen 3–4 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2024-09-14 · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1–0 Henan Songshan Longmen
2024-05-04 · Henan Songshan Longmen 1–2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-11
Data fingerprint: d44094913d52ca75d489365f458f6705b314be8623ee396046ea05c5d78b004e
Model: existing-source-policy-v1