HJK vs VPS prediction
V2026-10-08 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-08T15:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the HJK vs VPS prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: HJK (H) at 58.6%. The double-chance call is 1X at 81.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-06T08:48:59+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 6–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 58.6%
Medium1X · 81.9%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-06T08:48:59+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 58.6%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 17%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 45.7% | 32.1% | 22.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 58.6% | 23.3% | 18.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 62.7% | 21.7% | 15.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
HJK
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10
VPS
Scored / game: 0.80
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-07-18 · HJK 2–1 VPS
2026-05-22 · VPS 2–1 HJK
2025-07-05 · VPS 0–2 HJK
2025-04-26 · HJK 3–1 VPS
2024-09-20 · VPS 1–1 HJK
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-19
Data fingerprint: 3c17911e6dc06db4369edcf582f4d32999b5de89a4203c8ec7741a45bade4bb6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1