Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld prediction
B2026-11-07 · D2 · Kickoff 2026-11-07T12:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Holstein Kiel vs Bielefeld prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Holstein Kiel (H) at 38.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.9%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:37+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 38.7%
Low12 · 72.9%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:37+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 38.7%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 14%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.1% | 36.4% | 26.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 38.7% | 27.1% | 34.2% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 51.6% | 22.3% | 26.1% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-01. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Holstein Kiel
Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Bielefeld
Scored / game: 1.60
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-01-23 · Bielefeld 2–2 Holstein Kiel
2025-08-10 · Holstein Kiel 0–2 Bielefeld
2023-04-02 · Holstein Kiel 2–3 Bielefeld
2022-09-17 · Bielefeld 4–2 Holstein Kiel
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-01
Data fingerprint: 911697a77a486eb44c5eb6bcd57f340d60ca50f2ab273f5a1d0cf412c293c04a
Model: existing-source-policy-v1