Horsens vs Aarhus prediction
A
2026-09-20 · DNK · Kickoff 2026-09-20T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Horsens vs Aarhus prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Aarhus (A) at 51.0%. The double-chance call is X2 at 75.7%.
This forecast was published 2026-09-19T11:05:32+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 51.0%
LowX2 · 75.7%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-09-19T11:05:32+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 51.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 8%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 22.8% | 32.8% | 44.4% |
| Market · margin removed | 24.3% | 24.7% | 51.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.7% | 25.5% | 46.8% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
The original training snapshot is unavailable or failed integrity checks.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-14
Data fingerprint: c1e86356bc95235d5c4c015cbf3b67f94ea8d00fb5bf1d3fe5e0833d21888244
Model: existing-source-policy-v1