Hull vs Everton prediction
E2026-10-11 · E0 · Kickoff 2026-10-11T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Hull vs Everton prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Everton (A) at 46.7%. The double-chance call is X2 at 74.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-09T10:14:17+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–2
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 46.7%
LowX2 · 74.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-09T10:14:17+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 46.7%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 27%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
- At least one team has fewer than ten historical matches.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 34.7% | 37.7% | 27.7% |
| Market · margin removed | 26.0% | 27.2% | 46.7% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 50.3% | 30.1% | 19.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-20. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Hull
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 0.80
Clean sheets: 3 / 5
Everton
Scored / game: 1.30
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
No prior meetings in this archived dataset.
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-20
Data fingerprint: 2d10b5b5bb44ddcf854ac2c39ce8037fb6ced5776f26f19426879e0c7a1757fa
Model: existing-source-policy-v1