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Ilves vs SJK prediction

2026-10-17 · FIN · Kickoff 2026-10-17T11:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Ilves vs SJK match analysis

What is the Ilves vs SJK prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Ilves (H) at 48.7%. The double-chance call is 12 at 74.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–0

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 48.7%

Low
1 48.7%X 25.2%2 26.1%
Double chance

12 · 74.8%

Low
1X 73.9%X2 51.3%12 74.8%

Double chance was published at 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 48.7%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings39.4%35.3%25.3%
Market · margin removed48.7%25.2%26.1%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson43.4%26.1%30.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-12. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Ilves

LWWWD

Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 0.90
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-10Mariehamn (A)1–1
2026-09-19TPS (A)3–0
2026-09-12Lahti (H)3–1
2026-09-08Jaro (H)2–0
2026-08-31HJK (H)1–2

SJK

DDDWW

Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.00
Clean sheets: 4 / 10

2026-10-09Lahti (H)1–0
2026-09-18Mariehamn (H)2–1
2026-09-12Jaro (A)1–1
2026-09-08TPS (A)0–0
2026-08-31AC Oulu (A)0–0

Head to head

2026-06-27 · Ilves 2–2 SJK

2026-05-02 · SJK 1–1 Ilves

2025-11-03 · Ilves 3–3 SJK

2025-10-04 · SJK 2–1 Ilves

2025-07-05 · SJK 1–1 Ilves

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-10-16T07:38:28+00:00
Training ends: 2026-10-12
Data fingerprint: 99d6b49670fb7ab408457ba5bc3a3d452fac6b6ff17e8553eae4eac590213322
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →