Ind. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction
GL2026-10-03 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-10-03T00:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ind. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Ind. Rivadavia (H) at 47.4%. The double-chance call is 1X at 77.6%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-02T08:17:51+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 47.4%
Low1X · 77.6%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-02T08:17:51+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 47.4%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 37.7% | 36.1% | 26.1% |
| Market · margin removed | 47.4% | 30.2% | 22.4% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.4% | 27.9% | 26.7% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-09-22. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Ind. Rivadavia
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Gimnasia L.P.
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-15 · Gimnasia L.P. 2–3 Ind. Rivadavia
2024-07-18 · Ind. Rivadavia 1–0 Gimnasia L.P.
2024-01-30 · Gimnasia L.P. 2–3 Ind. Rivadavia
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-09-22
Data fingerprint: 50aebe3f7281ab06c5b79edbfc048470cb42ba1a9be06c783889d3ac052b9dca
Model: existing-source-policy-v1