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Independiente vs Dep. Riestra prediction

2026-11-06 · ARG · Kickoff 2026-11-06T22:15:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Independiente vs Dep. Riestra match analysis

What is the Independiente vs Dep. Riestra prediction?

Kickstatix prediction: Independiente (H) at 56.5%. The double-chance call is 1X at 84.8%.

This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.

Full time: 2–1

1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

1X2

1 · 56.5%

Medium
1 56.5%X 28.3%2 15.2%
Double chance

1X · 84.8%

Medium
1X 84.8%X2 43.5%12 71.7%

Double chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00, before kickoff.

Market forecast cutoff

Locks one hour before kickoff: .

No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.

TWO SIGNALS. ONE MATCH.

Prediction vs Market

MARKET SENTIMENT

Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.

Prediction reasoning & independent methods
  • The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 56.5%.
  • Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 11%.
  • Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
Method1X2
Elo ratings45.4%32.3%22.3%
Market · margin removed56.5%28.3%15.2%
Statistical · hierarchical Poisson45.9%33.5%20.6%
Pre-match stats, form & head to head

From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-03. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.

Independiente

LDDLD

Scored / game: 0.70
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 3 / 10

2026-11-02Defensa y Justicia (A)1–1
2026-10-25Boca Juniors (H)0–1
2026-10-18Racing Club (A)1–1
2026-10-12Talleres Cordoba (A)0–0
2026-10-02Instituto (H)1–4

Dep. Riestra

DLDLL

Scored / game: 0.40
Conceded / game: 1.20
Clean sheets: 2 / 10

2026-10-31Talleres Cordoba (H)0–3
2026-10-27Instituto (A)0–1
2026-10-20Union de Santa Fe (H)1–1
2026-10-11San Lorenzo (A)0–1
2026-10-05Central Cordoba (H)1–1

Head to head

2026-04-24 · Dep. Riestra 2–0 Independiente

2025-11-10 · Dep. Riestra 0–1 Independiente

2025-04-28 · Independiente 0–0 Dep. Riestra

2024-10-06 · Independiente 3–1 Dep. Riestra

2024-03-15 · Dep. Riestra 1–0 Independiente

Team news & forecast record

Team news has not been verified.

Published: 2026-11-06T10:21:02+00:00
Training ends: 2026-11-03
Data fingerprint: 985f33b54fcd9b925a539c984bf15a77f25434827ecace31e409b49864eaec55
Model: existing-source-policy-v1

View the complete prediction record →