Inter vs Fiorentina prediction
F2026-10-25 · I1 · Kickoff 2026-10-25T11:30:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Inter vs Fiorentina prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Inter (H) at 71.0%. The double-chance call is 1X at 88.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 2–1
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 71.0%
Medium1X · 88.5%
MediumDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:58+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 71.0%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 58.9% | 25.5% | 15.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 71.0% | 17.5% | 11.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 67.0% | 18.6% | 14.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Inter
Scored / game: 2.80
Conceded / game: 1.30
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Fiorentina
Scored / game: 1.10
Conceded / game: 1.80
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Head to head
2026-03-22 · Fiorentina 1–1 Inter
2025-10-29 · Inter 3–0 Fiorentina
2025-02-10 · Inter 2–1 Fiorentina
2025-02-06 · Fiorentina 3–0 Inter
2024-01-28 · Fiorentina 0–1 Inter
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: fb3ec602acc1be05704e0459b1ace93763b3d3a270b704f0d6e43654f1aedcd6
Model: existing-source-policy-v1