Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction
B
2026-11-08 · E0 · Kickoff 2026-11-08T14:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ipswich vs Bournemouth prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Bournemouth (A) at 50.1%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.0%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T11:27:41+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–2
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
2 · 50.1%
Low12 · 75.0%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T11:27:41+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-11-08T12:54:52+00:00. 5.1 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-11-08T13:14:31+00:00.
2 · 49.7%
✓ CorrectX2 · 75.4%
✓ CorrectPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 25.0% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 25.0% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Bournemouth | 50.1% | 100.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Ipswich
Draw
Bournemouth
All event markets · 3
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-11-08?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $71.99K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6236522Fetched 2026-11-11T04:21:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T16:06:29.991166Z
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $43.30K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6236529Fetched 2026-11-11T04:21:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T15:58:30.710966Z
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-08?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $234.12K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 6236535Fetched 2026-11-11T04:21:28+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-11-09T16:20:29.307584Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-11-08T13:56:23+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 50.1%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on A; largest outcome spread 10%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 23.2% | 33.2% | 43.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.1% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 27.5% | 23.1% | 49.4% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Ipswich
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Bournemouth
Scored / game: 1.50
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Head to head
2025-04-02 · Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich
2024-12-08 · Ipswich 1–2 Bournemouth
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: 6531f97fa7614be0245d2fa5e4e7db1a53ed0ab9eb3681448b32b58ce51ab9ee
Model: existing-source-policy-v1