Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest prediction
NF
2026-10-23 · E0 · Kickoff 2026-10-23T19:00:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Nott'm Forest (A) at 41.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 72.8%.
This forecast was published 2026-10-23T14:09:39+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–1
1X2 prediction: ✕ Wrong
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
GG · 60.5%
✓ CorrectOver 2.5 · 54.5%
✕ Wrong2 · 41.5%
Low12 · 72.8%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-10-23T14:09:39+00:00, before kickoff.
Frozen market prediction
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
Quote captured 2026-10-23T17:56:12+00:00. 3.8 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-10-23T18:04:46+00:00.
2 · 42.7%
✕ Wrong12 · 72.4%
✕ WrongPrediction vs Market
Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons.
The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.
These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.
| 90-minute 1X2 | Our model | Market sentiment | Market − model |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich | 31.3% | 0.0% | N/A |
| Draw | 27.2% | 100.0% | N/A |
| Nott'm Forest | 41.5% | 0.0% | N/A |
Closed or inactive market.
Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Our published baseline may use bookmaker odds. Market sentiment is excluded from model inputs.
Raw prices & normalization
For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.
Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 100.00% raw · Away: 0.00% raw
Probability movement · raw market prices
Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.
Ipswich
Draw
Nott'm Forest
All event markets · 3
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-10-23?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $1.02M · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5479429Fetched 2026-11-10T21:53:15+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-24T21:02:54.261699Z
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%
Volume $130.76K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5479430Fetched 2026-11-10T21:53:15+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-24T21:14:52.251197Z
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-23?
moneyline · Closed · Resolved
Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%
Volume $654.79K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 5479432Fetched 2026-11-10T21:53:15+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-10-24T21:16:52.116585Z
Historical closing observations (not scored)
Retained for research. The market results record uses the separate one-hour cutoff.
Last pre-match observation: 2026-10-23T18:51:24+00:00.
View source event ↗ · Matched by competition, both team IDs, home/away order and kickoff.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; A has probability 41.5%.
- Methods disagree: largest outcome spread 13%. Confidence reduced to Low.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 27.7% | 37.7% | 34.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 31.3% | 27.2% | 41.5% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 28.8% | 24.7% | 46.5% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-10-19. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Ipswich
Scored / game: 1.20
Conceded / game: 2.10
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Nott'm Forest
Scored / game: 0.90
Conceded / game: 1.40
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2025-03-15 · Ipswich 2–4 Nott'm Forest
2024-11-30 · Nott'm Forest 1–0 Ipswich
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-10-19
Data fingerprint: 89881d623c8c9b3b1338de8087f547913faaa79722366a5d956c6c92505c771c
Model: existing-source-policy-v1