Italy vs Spain market sentiment

2026-09-23 · MARKET_U20WWC · Kickoff 2026-09-23T13:00:00+00:00 (UTC)

Generated football stadium illustration for the Italy vs Spain match analysis

What is the Italy vs Spain market prediction?

Market prediction: 2 at 72.5%. The market-derived double-chance prediction is X2 at 90.0%.

These are market-implied probabilities, separate from the Kickstatix model and excluded from its track record.

Market Prediction · This match is listed by the market feed. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. It is excluded from model accuracy and football-result statistics.

The saved market forecast and result appear below.

GG and total goals

Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.

GG / NG · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

OVER / UNDER 2.5 · MARKET-IMPLIED

Unavailable

No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.

Frozen market prediction

Locks one hour before kickoff: 2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00.

Quote captured 2026-09-23T11:54:42+00:00. 5.3 minutes before the cutoff. Record saved 2026-09-23T12:00:09+00:00.

Market 1X2 prediction

2 · 72.5%

Awaiting result

1 10.0%2 72.5%X 17.5%

Market double chance prediction

X2 · 90.0%

Awaiting result

12 82.5%1X 27.5%X2 90.0%

MARKET-LISTED MATCH

Market Sentiment

MARKET SENTIMENT

Stale cached market data. Excluded from live comparisons. 2026-11-11T15:17:52+00:00

The prices below are the latest observed market sentiment. Results are scored only against the one-hour frozen picks above.

These are post-kickoff prices and do not enter forecast performance.

90-minute 1X2	Our model	Market sentiment	Market − model
Italy	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Draw	N/A	0.0%	N/A
Spain	N/A	100.0%	N/A

Closed or inactive market.

1X2 volume$89.88K

1X2 liquidityUnavailable

Market activityUnavailable

Event open interest$62.22K

Activity describes trading participation, not prediction confidence. Market-listed match. No Kickstatix model forecast is available. Excluded from the model track record.

Raw prices & normalization

For comparison, each raw price is divided by their total (100.00%). These are market prices, not factual chances of winning.

Home: 0.00% raw · Draw: 0.00% raw · Away: 100.00% raw

Probability movement · raw market prices

Changes measure market pricing, not evidence that a team will win. First available sample may be later than market opening.

Italy

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Draw

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

Spain

Historical price samples unavailable.

1 hourUnavailable

6 hoursUnavailable

24 hoursUnavailable

First available sampleUnavailable

All event markets · 3

Will Italy win on 2026-09-23?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $11.47K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4732006
Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:52+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-09-24T16:03:05.766931Z

Will Italy vs. Spain end in a draw?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 0.0% · No: 100.0%

Volume $10.61K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4732007
Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:52+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-09-24T15:34:45.404318Z

Will Spain win on 2026-09-23?

moneyline · Closed · Resolved

Yes: 100.0% · No: 0.0%

Volume $67.80K · Liquidity Unavailable · Market 4732008
Fetched 2026-11-11T15:17:52+00:00 · Provider updated 2026-09-24T16:38:46.417612Z

View source event ↗ · Listed from explicit competition, ordered teams and game start time in the market feed.

Market-only coverage. No model forecast or verified football result is claimed.

View the complete prediction record →