Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice prediction
GK2026-11-08 · POL · Kickoff 2026-11-08T13:45:00+00:00 (UTC)
What is the Jagiellonia vs GKS Katowice prediction?
Kickstatix prediction: Jagiellonia (H) at 43.5%. The double-chance call is 12 at 75.5%.
This forecast was published 2026-11-06T10:21:34+00:00 before kickoff. Probabilities express uncertainty and are not a guarantee.
Full time: 1–0
1X2 prediction: ✓ Correct
GG and total goals
Market-implied full-match picks. Results use the saved one-hour pre-kickoff quote and require a verified football score.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
Unavailable
No eligible pre-match quote saved. No result is scored.
1 · 43.5%
Low12 · 75.5%
LowDouble chance was published at 2026-11-06T10:21:34+00:00, before kickoff.
Market forecast cutoff
Locks one hour before kickoff: .
No eligible frozen forecast. No eligible market quote captured within 20 minutes before the one-hour cutoff. Excluded from market accuracy.
Prediction vs Market
Market sentiment unavailable. No verified market association. Our fixture and published prediction remain available.
Prediction reasoning & independent methods
- The selected source is shin_raw; H has probability 43.5%.
- Independent statistical and Elo methods agree on H; largest outcome spread 12%.
- Team news is unavailable; High confidence is disabled.
| Method | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings | 39.1% | 35.5% | 25.5% |
| Market · margin removed | 43.5% | 24.5% | 32.0% |
| Statistical · hierarchical Poisson | 45.0% | 23.4% | 31.6% |
Pre-match stats, form & head to head
From the original training snapshot through 2026-11-02. Averages use up to ten prior league matches.
Jagiellonia
Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 1.70
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
GKS Katowice
Scored / game: 2.10
Conceded / game: 1.50
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Head to head
2026-05-17 · GKS Katowice 2–2 Jagiellonia
2026-03-17 · Jagiellonia 2–1 GKS Katowice
2025-03-02 · Jagiellonia 1–0 GKS Katowice
2024-08-25 · GKS Katowice 3–1 Jagiellonia
Team news & forecast record
Team news has not been verified.
Training ends: 2026-11-02
Data fingerprint: c11d98a7d52077cfbe97d7f4cccb05230e0fc7794a1579c43b5858b68c20be28
Model: existing-source-policy-v1